\u8b1b\u8005\uff1aJonathan Dushoff\uff08\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u9ea5\u514b\u99ac\u65af\u7279\u5927\u5b78\u751f\u7269\u5b78\u6559\u6388\u66a8\u81fa\u5927\u516c\u885b\u5b78\u9662\u8a2a\u554f\u5b78\u8005\uff09
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\u5831\u540d\u9023\u7d50\uff1ahttps:\/\/forms.gle\/GsvWHxuiJNZokVsP8<\/a>
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The spread of epidemics is structured by time distributions, including the now-famous \u201cserial interval\u201d between when an individual experiences symptoms, and when the person that they infect experiences symptoms. This is often used to represent the \u201cgeneration interval\u201d between when the same two individuals were infected, but these can be importantly different. Defining these time distributions clearly, and describing how they relate to each other, and to key parameters of disease spread, poses interesting theoretical and practical questions.
I will discuss how transmission intervals link the \u201cspeed\u201d and \u201cstrength\u201d of epidemics, issues in their estimation, and their role in helping monitor changes in the parameters underlying disease, with examples from COVID-19, rabies and other HIV.
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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